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COVID-19 and the International Political Economy

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IISL’s award-winning research on The Evolution of Economic Ecosystems,

which long-predicted socio-politico-economic phenomena including

the 2008 financial crisis, Trump, Brexit, #MeToo,

also long-predicted that as humanity moved from

the “Blue World” to the “Red World”

the earth would lose more than 1 billion people this century.


Coronavirus is just the beginning...


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C  VID-19

On 26 February 2020, US President Trump stated:

“the 15 (cases) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero,

that’s a pretty good job we’ve done.”



On that date, IISL Research using nonlinear dynamic models

based on a system of coupled nonlinear differential equations predicted:


By 15 April 2020, the US will have experienced a “Pearl Harbor”:

approximately 2,400 coronavirus deaths in one day.

(It ended up being 2,408 deaths).


By 16 April 2020, the US will have experienced a “9-11”:

approximately 3,000 coronavirus deaths in one day.

(It ended up being 4,938 deaths).


By 18 April 2020, the US will have experienced a “Korean War”:

approximately 36,000 cumulative coronavirus deaths.

(It ended up being 37,054 deaths).


By 1 May 2020, the US will have experienced a “Vietnam War”:

approximately 60,000 cumulative coronavirus deaths.

(It ended up being 60,966 deaths).

Click images below for research from an IISL Fellow in the journal, Etonomics: